African Climate

We study how African climate systems work, how they are represented in models, and how they are changing.

African climate systems are understudied, sensitive to climate change, and closely tied to human livelihoods. The science is also fascinating! From convective storms and tropical cyclones in the Mozambique Channel, to large scale teleconnections with global ocean basins.

We aim to generate new understanding to support decision-making, and much of our current work investigates future climate simulations relevant for adaptation planning. We are analysing hundreds of climate model experiments including new high resolution convective-permitting runs, working with the group that develops these at the Met Office.

We collaborate with scientists in South Africa, Mozambique, Cameroon, Kenya and Ghana, and we seek to support African leadership and transformation in South-North partnerships.

In the SALIENT project, we are exploring how future climate information might be useful in many decision contexts, including managing flood risk in informal settlements.

Photo: Flooding in Lusaka, Zambia during February 2024 fieldwork visit. Photo credit Ailish Craig.

Our work explores future change in extreme weather events including heavy rainfall events and drought, which can have big implications for managing dams. We are exploring the intersection between science and decision-making in REPRESA and SALIENT.

Visiting Pequenos Libombos dam in Mozambique, October 2023. Photo credit: Rachel James.